Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.4%
Sp Gijon
21.3%
Draw
19.4%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Sp Gijon
vs
1.04
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
2-1
10.0%
1-0
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
3-0
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
0-1
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
0-0
4.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).