Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.3%
Newcastle
15.5%
Draw
6.2%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
2.62
Newcastle
vs
0.67
Leicester
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.541.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
3-0
11.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
7.4%
4-0
7.4%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
4.6%
5-0
3.9%
2-2
2.8%
5-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).