Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Fylde
27.4%
Draw
30.0%
Dover Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Fylde
vs
1.22
Dover Athletic
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).