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27 Jan 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.6%
Airdrie Utd
21.5%
Draw
22.9%
Arbroath

Expected Goals (xG)

2.19

Airdrie Utd

vs
1.37

Arbroath

Markets

BTTS66.7%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.568.9%
Over 3.547.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
1-0
5.7%
3-0
5.0%
3-2
4.7%
4-1
3.7%
0-0
3.4%
0-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).