Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.6%
Grimsby
25.0%
Draw
38.4%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Grimsby
vs
1.36
Swindon
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
0-1
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
0-0
6.4%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).