Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.9%
Oxford
20.3%
Draw
25.7%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Oxford
vs
1.27
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
5.9%
3-0
4.9%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.2%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).