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AHT: 10CSV

29 Apr 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.5%
Dunfermline
31.5%
Draw
23.0%
Queen of Sth

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Dunfermline

vs
0.92

Queen of Sth

Markets

BTTS46.9%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.8%
0-0
12.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).