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AHT: 12CSV

10 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.5%
Milton Keynes Dons
25.3%
Draw
34.2%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Milton Keynes Dons

vs
1.23

Bradford

Markets

BTTS52.3%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-0
6.9%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).