Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.0%
Luzern
21.7%
Draw
56.2%
Thun
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Luzern
vs
2.40
Thun
Markets
BTTS72.0%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.591.4%
Over 2.574.7%
Over 3.554.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.7%
1-1
8.6%
1-3
7.0%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
2-3
5.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
4.2%
0-1
3.6%
0-0
3.3%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).