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DHT: 01CSV

08 Dec 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.1%
Hannover
20.0%
Draw
18.0%
Karlsruhe

Expected Goals (xG)

2.43

Hannover

vs
1.27

Karlsruhe

Markets

BTTS66.4%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.571.5%
Over 3.550.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.9%
1-0
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-1
4.5%
4-0
3.6%
0-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).