Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.3%
Mansfield
23.4%
Draw
23.3%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Mansfield
vs
1.00
Colchester
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).