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12 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.0%
Leganes
32.1%
Draw
25.9%
Albacete

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Leganes

vs
0.75

Albacete

Markets

BTTS34.3%
Over 0.583.7%
Over 1.553.7%
Over 2.527.1%
Over 3.510.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.4%
0-0
16.3%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.5%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).