Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.5%
Nott'm Forest
34.0%
Draw
38.5%
Everton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Nott'm Forest
vs
1.12
Everton
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.2%
0-0
15.0%
0-1
12.9%
1-0
10.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).