Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.2%
Blackburn
31.9%
Draw
34.9%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Blackburn
vs
1.07
Watford
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
13.1%
0-1
12.0%
1-0
11.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
7.0%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
0-3
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).