Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.4%
Troyes
21.3%
Draw
36.3%
Bordeaux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Troyes
vs
1.66
Bordeaux
Markets
BTTS67.1%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.567.2%
Over 3.545.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
7.0%
1-0
6.2%
0-1
5.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
3-2
4.2%
2-3
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).