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13 Apr 2025 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.1%
Kayserispor
34.8%
Draw
32.1%
Kasımpaşa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Kayserispor

vs
1.15

Kasımpaşa

Markets

BTTS50.7%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.5%
0-0
13.1%
1-0
8.1%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).