Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Mansfield
23.8%
Draw
23.5%
Burton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Mansfield
vs
0.91
Burton
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).