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03 May 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.7%
Sivasspor
26.4%
Draw
53.9%
Buyuksehyr

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Sivasspor

vs
2.01

Buyuksehyr

Markets

BTTS62.6%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.3%
0-0
6.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
2-1
5.8%
0-1
5.8%
0-3
5.5%
2-3
3.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).