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27 Jan 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.5%
Stuttgart
23.2%
Draw
28.3%
RB Leipzig

Expected Goals (xG)

1.95

Stuttgart

vs
1.46

RB Leipzig

Markets

BTTS66.6%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.566.4%
Over 3.544.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.0%
1-0
5.8%
3-2
4.4%
0-1
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
0-0
3.9%
0-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).