Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.1%
AVS
31.5%
Draw
41.4%
Alverca
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
AVS
vs
1.20
Alverca
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-1
13.4%
0-0
13.1%
1-0
10.0%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).