Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.8%
Lincoln
15.9%
Draw
10.3%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Lincoln
vs
0.67
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.6%
1-0
12.9%
3-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
7.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-0
5.7%
0-0
4.8%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
3.8%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).