Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.0%
FC Koln
13.2%
Draw
8.7%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
3.14
FC Koln
vs
1.05
Hertha
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.592.5%
Over 2.578.8%
Over 3.560.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-0
7.8%
2-0
7.5%
4-1
6.4%
4-0
6.2%
1-1
5.4%
1-0
4.4%
3-2
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
5-1
4.0%
5-0
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).