Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.9%
Cultural Leonesa
23.1%
Draw
54.9%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Cultural Leonesa
vs
1.77
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-0
6.4%
0-0
6.0%
1-3
5.8%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.6%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
3.2%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).