Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.1%
Harrogate
23.6%
Draw
12.3%
Maidstone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Harrogate
vs
0.67
Maidstone
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
2-0
13.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
4.7%
4-0
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).