Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.3%
Cittadella
32.2%
Draw
38.5%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Cittadella
vs
1.16
Spal
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.2%
0-1
12.4%
1-0
10.3%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).