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02 Mar 2022 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.4%
Reggina
28.0%
Draw
21.5%
Vicenza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Reggina

vs
0.93

Vicenza

Markets

BTTS48.8%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-0
10.0%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).