Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.8%
Leverkusen
18.5%
Draw
11.7%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
2.35
Leverkusen
vs
0.87
Hertha
Markets
BTTS53.2%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.8%
1-1
8.7%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
5.1%
0-0
4.5%
4-1
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).