Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.8%
Holstein Kiel
19.4%
Draw
57.8%
RB Leipzig
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Holstein Kiel
vs
2.53
RB Leipzig
Markets
BTTS73.7%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.592.1%
Over 2.577.9%
Over 3.559.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.3%
1-3
7.0%
1-1
7.0%
2-2
6.6%
2-3
5.5%
0-2
5.2%
2-1
5.2%
1-4
4.4%
0-3
4.4%
0-1
3.7%
2-4
3.5%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).