Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.4%
Queens Park
22.7%
Draw
12.0%
Elgin
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Queens Park
vs
0.84
Elgin
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.3%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
6.8%
4-0
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
4-1
3.7%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).