Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.0%
Dortmund
7.6%
Draw
2.4%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
3.44
Dortmund
vs
0.52
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.590.8%
Over 2.575.6%
Over 3.555.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.0%
2-0
11.3%
4-0
11.2%
5-0
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-1
4.0%
1-1
3.6%
0-0
2.1%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).