Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
St Johnstone
27.1%
Draw
32.1%
Kilmarnock
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
St Johnstone
vs
1.27
Kilmarnock
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
7.3%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).