Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.4%
Denizlispor
36.1%
Draw
37.6%
Alanyaspor
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Denizlispor
vs
1.18
Alanyaspor
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.7%
0-0
15.1%
0-1
10.5%
0-2
8.2%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).