Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Malaga
22.9%
Draw
33.3%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Malaga
vs
1.49
Almeria
Markets
BTTS63.7%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.0%
2-0
6.0%
3-1
5.2%
0-2
4.4%
0-0
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).