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HHT: 10CSV

07 May 2017

QPR

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.5%
Norwich
25.5%
Draw
24.0%
QPR

Expected Goals (xG)

1.72

Norwich

vs
1.12

QPR

Markets

BTTS56.1%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).