Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.7%
West Ham
21.9%
Draw
66.5%
Arsenal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
West Ham
vs
2.11
Arsenal
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.2%
1-1
10.5%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-3
6.8%
0-0
6.7%
0-4
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
2-1
3.7%
1-4
3.6%
1-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).