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03 Nov 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.8%
Lillestrøm
23.3%
Draw
24.9%
Haugesund

Expected Goals (xG)

1.75

Lillestrøm

vs
1.14

Haugesund

Markets

BTTS56.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
0-0
5.5%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).