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AHT: 10CSV

08 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.2%
Braintree Town
33.3%
Draw
29.5%
Dover Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Braintree Town

vs
0.91

Dover Athletic

Markets

BTTS40.2%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.513.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.0%
1-1
14.6%
1-0
13.6%
0-1
11.6%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).