Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.2%
Cittadella
33.7%
Draw
31.1%
Virtus Entella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Cittadella
vs
0.95
Virtus Entella
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.513.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.2%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
12.9%
0-1
11.8%
2-0
7.3%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).