Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
Lugano
25.5%
Draw
28.6%
Luzern
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Lugano
vs
1.49
Luzern
Markets
BTTS67.7%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
0-0
5.0%
1-0
4.7%
3-2
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).