Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.3%
Sunderland
22.1%
Draw
17.6%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Sunderland
vs
0.76
Northampton
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).