Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
Lens
23.2%
Draw
23.9%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Lens
vs
1.07
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.0%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).