Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.2%
Port Vale
24.6%
Draw
38.2%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Port Vale
vs
1.39
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS55.3%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
0-2
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).