Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.1%
Pacos Ferreira
25.8%
Draw
48.1%
Moreirense
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Pacos Ferreira
vs
1.41
Moreirense
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
9.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
6.1%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).