Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.6%
Ferrol
27.2%
Draw
54.2%
Sporting Gijón
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Ferrol
vs
1.41
Sporting Gijón
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.2%
0-2
12.1%
0-0
12.0%
1-1
11.8%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
4.2%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).