Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.7%
Newport County
25.3%
Draw
38.0%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Newport County
vs
1.32
Barrow
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-1
10.1%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
0-0
6.8%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).