Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.8%
Nantes
22.6%
Draw
26.6%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Nantes
vs
1.16
Metz
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
0-0
5.0%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).