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DHT: 12CSV

02 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Dundee

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.3%
Motherwell
19.4%
Draw
10.4%
Dundee

Expected Goals (xG)

2.17

Motherwell

vs
0.72

Dundee

Markets

BTTS46.0%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.1%
1-0
11.5%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.1%
4-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.4%
2-2
3.4%
1-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).