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21 Jan 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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2.9%
Maidstone
8.4%
Draw
88.7%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.58

Maidstone

vs
3.41

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS42.8%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.591.1%
Over 2.576.0%
Over 3.556.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-3
12.3%
0-2
10.8%
0-4
10.5%
0-5
7.1%
1-3
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
1-4
6.0%
0-1
6.0%
1-5
4.1%
1-1
4.0%
0-0
2.2%
2-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).