Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.0%
Gateshead
21.0%
Draw
64.9%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Gateshead
vs
2.14
Southend
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.9%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.4%
0-3
7.8%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
4.5%
2-1
4.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-4
3.8%
1-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).