Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Sp Gijon
26.7%
Draw
42.4%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Sp Gijon
vs
1.36
Elche
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.5%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
8.3%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).